如何看待6月28日Trump贸易政策演讲?

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#美国大选#共和党候选人特朗普6月28日发表国际贸易政策演讲,其中提到中国12次。他说他将撕毁TPP,北美自贸协定等国际贸易协议,并将对中国的经济行为采取无情的攻势(start an unrelenting offensive against Chinese economic practices),并将重新谈判所有贸易协议。他说:“我们的政客太过于追求全球化,将我们的工作机会、财富和工厂都转移到了墨西哥和海外。全球化让支持政客的金融精英变得非常富有,我不得不承认,我曾经也是他们的一员。” 微博正文

2017年4月22日 10 条回复 1474 次浏览

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  1. Harper哈柏
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    It is great to be here. I’d like to thank Alumisource and all the amazing workers here for hosting us.

    Today, I am going to talk about how to Make America Wealthy Again.

    We are thirty miles from Steel City. Pittsburgh played a central role in building our nation.

    The legacy of Pennsylvania steelworkers lives in the bridges, railways and skyscrapers that make up our great American landscape.

    But our workers’ loyalty was repaid with betrayal.

    Our politicians have aggressively pursued a policy of globalization – moving our jobs, our wealth and our factories to Mexico and overseas.

    Globalization has made the financial elite who donate to politicians very wealthy. But it has left millions of our workers with nothing but poverty and heartache.

    When subsidized foreign steel is dumped into our markets, threatening our factories, the politicians do nothing.

    For years, they watched on the sidelines as our jobs vanished and our communities were plunged into depression-level unemployment.

    Many of these areas have still never recovered.

    Our politicians took away from the people their means of making a living and supporting their families.

    Skilled craftsmen and tradespeople and factory workers have seen the jobs they loved shipped thousands of miles away.

    Many Pennsylvania towns once thriving and humming are now in a state despair.

    This wave of globalization has wiped out our middle class.

    It doesn’t have to be this way. We can turn it all around – and we can turn it around fast.

    But if we’re going to deliver real change, we’re going to have to reject the campaign of fear and intimidation being pushed by powerful corporations, media elites, and political dynasties.

    The people who rigged the system for their benefit will do anything – and say anything – to keep things exactly as they are.

    The people who rigged the system are supporting Hillary Clinton because they know as long as she is in charge nothing will ever change.

    The inner cities will remain poor.

    The factories will remain closed.

    The borders will remain open.

    The special interests will remain firmly in control.

    Hillary Clinton and her friends in global finance want to scare America into thinking small – and they want to scare the American people out of voting for a better future.

    My campaign has the opposite message.

    I want you to imagine how much better your life can be if we start believing in America again.

    I want you to imagine how much better our future can be if we declare independence from the elites who’ve led us to one financial and foreign policy disaster after another.

    Our friends in Britain recently voted to take back control of their economy, politics and borders.

    I was on the right side of that issue – with the people – while Hillary, as always, stood with the elites, and both she and president Obama predicted that one wrong.

    Now it’s time for the American people to take back their future.

    That’s the choice we face. We can either give in to Hillary Clinton’s campaign of fear, or we can choose to Believe In America.

    We lost our way when we stopped believing in our country.

    America became the world’s dominant economy by becoming the world’s dominant producer.

    The wealth this created was shared broadly, creating the biggest middle class the world had ever known.

    But then America changed its policy from promoting development in America, to promoting development in other nations.

    We allowed foreign countries to subsidize their goods, devalue their currencies, violate their agreements, and cheat in every way imaginable.

    Trillions of our dollars and millions of our jobs flowed overseas as a result.

    I have visited cities and towns across this country where a third or even half of manufacturing jobs have been wiped out in the last 20 years.

    Today, we import nearly $800 billion more in goods than we export.

    This is not some natural disaster. It is politician-made disaster.

    It is the consequence of a leadership class that worships globalism over Americanism.

    This is a direct affront to our Founding Fathers, who wanted America to be strong, independent and free.

    Our Founding Fathers Understood Trade

    George Washington said that “the promotion of domestic manufactur[ing] will be among the first consequences to flow from an energetic government.”

    Alexander Hamilton spoke frequently of the “expediency of encouraging manufactur[ing] in the United States.” The first Republican President, Abraham Lincoln, warned that: “The abandonment of the protective policy by the American government… must produce want and ruin among our people.”

    Our original Constitution did not even have an income tax. Instead, it had tariffs – emphasizing taxation of foreign, not domestic, production.

    Yet today, 240 years after the Revolution, we have turned things completely upside-down.

    We tax and regulate and restrict our companies to death, then we allow foreign countries that cheat to export their goods to us tax-free.

    As a result, we have become more dependent on foreign countries than ever before.

    Ladies and Gentlemen, it’s time to declare our economic independence once again.

    That means reversing two of the worst legacies of the Clinton years.

    America has lost nearly one-third of its manufacturing jobs since 1997 – even as the country has increased its population by 50 million people.

    At the center of this catastrophe are two trade deals pushed by Bill and Hillary Clinton.

    First, the North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA. Second, China’s entry into the World Trade Organization.

    NAFTA was the worst trade deal in history, and China’s entrance into the World Trade Organization has enabled the greatest jobs theft in history.

    It was Bill Clinton who signed NAFTA in 1993, and Hillary Clinton who supported it.

    It was also Bill Clinton who lobbied for China’s disastrous entry into the World Trade Organization, and Hillary Clinton who backed that terrible agreement.

    Then, as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton stood by idly while China cheated on its currency, added another trillion dollars to our trade deficits, and stole hundreds of billions of dollars in our intellectual property.

    The city of Pittsburgh, and the State of Pennsylvania, have lost one-third of their manufacturing jobs since the Clintons put China into the WTO.

    Fifty thousand factories across America have shut their doors in that time.

    Almost half of our entire manufacturing trade deficit in goods with the world is the result of trade with China.

    It was also Hillary Clinton, as Secretary of State, who shoved us into a job-killing deal with South Korea in 2012.

    As reported by the Economic Policy Institute in May, this deal doubled our trade deficit with South Korea and destroyed nearly 100,000 American jobs.

    As Bernie Sanders said, Hillary Clinton “Voted for virtually every trade agreement that has cost the workers of this country millions of jobs.”

    Trade reform, and the negotiation of great trade deals, is the quickest way to bring our jobs back.

    To understand why trade reform creates jobs, we need to understand how all nations grow and prosper.

    Massive trade deficits subtract directly from our Gross Domestic Product.

    From 1947 to 2001 – a span of over five decades – our inflation-adjusted gross domestic product grew at a rate of 3.5%.

    However, since 2002 – the year after we fully opened our markets to Chinese imports – that GDP growth rate has been cut almost in half.

    What does this mean for Americans? For every one percent of GDP growth we fail to generate in any given year, we also fail to create over one million jobs.

    America’s “job creation deficit” due to slower growth since 2002 is well over 20 million jobs – and that’s just about the number of jobs our country needs right now to put America back to work at decent wages.

    The Transpacific-Partnership is the greatest danger yet.

    The TPP would be the death blow for American manufacturing.

    It would give up all of our economic leverage to an international commission that would put the interests of foreign countries above our own.

    It would further open our markets to aggressive currency cheaters. It would make it easier for our trading competitors to ship cheap subsidized goods into U.S. markets – while allowing foreign countries to continue putting barriers in front of our exports.

    The TPP would lower tariffs on foreign cars, while leaving in place the foreign practices that keep American cars from being sold overseas. The TPP even created a backdoor for China to supply car parts for automobiles made in Mexico.

    The agreement would also force American workers to compete directly against workers from Vietnam, one of the lowest wage countries on Earth.

    Not only will the TPP undermine our economy, but it will undermine our independence.

    The TPP creates a new international commission that makes decisions the American people can’t veto.

    These commissions are great Hillary Clinton’s Wall Street funders who can spend vast amounts of money to influence the outcomes.

    It should be no surprise then that Hillary Clinton, according to Bloomberg, took a “leading part in drafting the Trans-Pacific Partnership”.

    She praised or pushed the TPP on 45 separate occasions, and even called it the “gold standard”.

    Hillary Clinton was totally for the TPP just a short while ago, but when she saw my stance, which is totally against, she was shamed into saying she would be against it too – but have no doubt, she will immediately approve it if it is put before her, guaranteed.

    She will do this just as she has betrayed American workers for Wall Street throughout her career.

    Here’s how it would go: she would make a small token change, declare the pact fixed, and ram it through.

    That’s why Hillary is now only saying she has problems with the TPP “in its current form,” – ensuring that she can rush to embrace it again at her earliest opportunity.

    If the media doesn’t believe me, I have a challenge for you. Ask Hillary Clinton if she is willing to withdraw from the TPP her first day in office and unconditionally rule out its passage in any form.

    There is no way to “fix” the TPP. We need bilateral trade deals. We do not need to enter into another massive international agreement that ties us up and binds us down.

    A Trump Administration will change our failed trade policy – quickly

    Here are 7 steps I would pursue right away to bring back our jobs.

    One: I am going to withdraw the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which has not yet been ratified.

    Two: I’m going to appoint the toughest and smartest trade negotiators to fight on behalf of American workers.

    Three: I’m going to direct the Secretary of Commerce to identify every violation of trade agreements a foreign country is currently using to harm our workers. I will then direct all appropriate agencies to use every tool under American and international law to end these abuses.

    Four: I’m going tell our NAFTA partners that I intend to immediately renegotiate the terms of that agreement to get a better deal for our workers. And I don’t mean just a little bit better, I mean a lot better. If they do not agree to a renegotiation, then I will submit notice under Article 2205 of the NAFTA agreement that America intends to withdraw from the deal.

    Five: I am going to instruct my Treasury Secretary to label China a currency manipulator. Any country that devalues their currency in order to take advantage of the United States will be met with sharply

    Six: I am going to instruct the U.S. Trade Representative to bring trade cases against China, both in this country and at the WTO. China’s unfair subsidy behavior is prohibited by the terms of its entrance to the WTO, and I intend to enforce those rules.

    Seven: If China does not stop its illegal activities, including its theft of American trade secrets, I will use every lawful presidential power to remedy trade disputes, including the application of tariffs consistent with Section 201 and 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 and Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.

    President Reagan deployed similar trade measures when motorcycle and semiconductor imports threatened U.S. industry. His tariff on Japanese motorcycles was 45% and his tariff to shield America’s semiconductor industry was 100%.

    Hillary Clinton, and her campaign of fear, will try to spread the lie that these actions will start a trade war. She has it completely backwards.

    Hillary Clinton unleashed a trade war against the American worker when she supported one terrible trade deal after another – from NAFTA to China to South Korea.

    A Trump Administration will end that war by getting a fair deal for the American people.

    The era of economic surrender will finally be over.

    A new era of prosperity will finally begin.

    America will be independent once more.

    Under a Trump Presidency, the American worker will finally have a President who will protect them and fight for them.

    We will stand up to trade cheating anywhere and everywhere it threatens an American job.

    We will make America the best place in the world to start a business, hire workers, and open a factory.

    This includes massive tax reform to lift the crushing burdens on American workers and businesses.

    We will also get rid of wasteful rules and regulations which are destroying our job creation capacity.

    Many people think that these regulations are an even greater impediment than the fact that we are one of the highest taxed nations in the world.

    We are also going to fully capture America’s tremendous energy capacity. This will create vast profits for our workers and begin reducing our deficit. Hillary Clinton wants to shut down energy production and shut down the mines.

    A Trump Administration will also ensure that we start using American steel for American infrastructure.

    Just like the American steel from Pennsylvania that built the Empire State building.

    It will be American steel that will fortify American’s crumbling bridges.

    It will be American steel that sends our skyscrapers soaring into the sky.

    It will be American steel that rebuilds our inner cities.

    It will be American hands that remake this country, and it will be American energy – mined from American resources – that powers this country.

    It will be American workers who are hired to do the job.

    We are going to put American-produced steel back into the backbone of our country. This alone will create massive numbers of jobs.

    On trade, on immigration, on foreign policy, we are going to put America First again.

    We are going to make America wealthy again.

    We are going to reject Hillary Clinton’s politics of fear, futility, and incompetence.

    We are going to embrace the possibilities of change.

    It is time to believe in the future.

    It is time to believe in each other.

    It is time to Believe In America.

    This Is How We Are Going To Make America Great Again – For All Americans.

    We Are Going To Make America Great Again。Again For Everyone – Greater Than Ever Before.

    Thank you.

  2. 理想很丰满
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    川普简直解救了美国留学生啊,人民币要涨

  3. 黄继续
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    之前一直说川普的政策假大空,怎么这么几个演讲看下来,川普的政策好像是最具体的?

  4. 一言不合就卖萌
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    谢邀。

    H兄,你的邀请我没看见……还是删邀的时候才发现的。呵呵。

    川普的话是他必须说的,所以不用太当真。

    川普没能力逆转全球化,即使他是成功的商人和伟大的总统,也无法逆转全球化。任何反全球化的结果就是战争——无论是低烈度还是二战式的中等烈度,从全球化中得益的发达国家是不可能放弃全球化进程的,而小国弱国就只有被乖乖折腾的份儿。

    说到底,全球化是五大流氓的盛宴,其他国家不是陪衬就是基石,富如德国日本,也不过是混得稍好的配角。最后能够决定走向的,是同时拥有强大常规军力与核武的五大流氓——川普想改变全球化吗?那他就会成为下一个被刺杀的总统。

    不过以川普的智力和做事风格来说,这种话也就是说说而已,他没那么傻。选票面前,说什么都行啊。

  5. Samuel Grimm
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    反经济全球化、TPP、NAFTA,保护本国制造业,和在国际贸易中“cheat”以中国为代表的国家正面打贸易战

    想法是好的,对中国来说,正好从“低端制造大国”的形象里脱身,强迫国内企业重视创新专利。更何况近年来低端制造业中心像东南亚转移,一直这样下去也不是办法,急需经济转型

    问题在于,他提出的贸易政策,怕是要和美国上层社会里那些经济全球化的既得利益者们产生更大的冲突

  6. cq123123
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    美国人犯傻了30多年,也该学聪明一回了。

  7. 冷血豆腐
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    很显然,这是一个找骂的演讲,而且效果还可以。中国政府非常配合骂了几句,美国媒体也骂,专家说,你这乱搞,会失去三百多万就业岗位。而这样的反应恰恰是特朗普需要的。

    主流媒体倡导的全球化造成美国本土产业的空心化,这是许多人亲身体验的。特朗普现在反全球化,你们说这也会造成失业。合着无论全球化反全球化中下层美国民众都该失业吗,你们这些砖家都是开拖拉机的吗?

    特朗普的财富使他可以说,我知道全球化的好处,我也曾经是受益者。那么他对全球化的批判也就有了坚实的基础。

    总之,特朗普的选民定位是沉默的大多数,反对现状而渴求改变的人。而这恰恰需要强大的心脏。

    英国脱欧对特朗普而言不一定是好事,脱欧后一片哀鸿对特朗普而言更不是好事,但是土耳其机场爆炸来的非常及时,不早也不晚。使脱欧的阵痛,支持留欧的声音一扫而空。这才是天助特朗普。

    但是经济上反主流很难得到助攻,除非美国经济又大幅下滑,而这不太容易实现。特朗普的路依旧坎坷。

    至于特朗普政策的可行性,我只好呵呵。

  8. haidongiqngfd
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    这跟奥巴马批评中国搭全球经济的便车是一样的,只是特朗普说的更具体些,不同的是美国是高端制造业,金融上更是全球金融规则的制定者和最大获利者。美国的高端制造业本身需要的工人就不多,高屋建瓴,特朗普针对的对象是美国的产业工人,目的是获得选票,美国的产业转移确实合适,通过高端制造业出口给中国,中国只是生产加工的一方。中国需要提高制造业的升级转型,来应付全球化和后全球化时代的挑战。

  9. Xi MIAO
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    特朗普要激发起美国人的爱国心,切断所有贸易,让产业工人回去重新开工,

    在巨大的爱国热情下,

    底特律再一次繁荣,美国车就算比日本车贵2倍,耗油多2倍,趴窝率高2倍,美国人也坚决开美国车,不开不是美国人,

    美国组装的IPhone就算价格翻翻,美国人也坚持使用,什么用三星华为的都是卖国贼用的,

    柯达相机重振旗鼓,推出胶卷寄柯达直接存云服务器服务,妈妈再也不用担心相机储存卡不够用了,

    以上皆为调侃。

    其实美国人真有棒子的爱国热情,靠美国这么大的市场内循环撑个几年也没太大问题。

    把工作带回美国其实不难,难的是带回美国的工作能经得起工会的折腾。。。

  10. 任逍遥
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    经济自有其趋势和规律。总统候选人上台前的经济政策都是忽悠,没几个做得到的。所以,随他说。重点还是外交 国家安全 教育 减税

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