This paper’s findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that
greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSPs) air pollution
is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more
than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental
empirical approach is based on China’s Huai River policy, which
provided free winter heating via the provision of coal for boilers in
cities north of the Huai River but denied heat to the south. Using
a regression discontinuity design based on distance from the Huai
River, we find that ambient concentrations of TSPs are about 184
μg/m3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 61, 307] or 55% higher in the
north. Further, the results indicate that life expectancies are about
5.5 y (95% CI: 0.8, 10.2) lower in the north owing to an increased
incidence of cardiorespiratory mortality. More generally, the analysis
suggests that long-term exposure to an additional 100 μg/m3
of TSPs is associated with a reduction in life expectancy at birth of
about 3.0 y (95% CI: 0.4, 5.6).
回复 ( 3 )
文章是真的，可以从查到。
文章第一作者Yuyu Chen的单位是北京大学，该文章发表于2013年8月6日。
文章的英文摘要如下：
This paper’s findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that
greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSPs) air pollution
is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more
than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental
empirical approach is based on China’s Huai River policy, which
provided free winter heating via the provision of coal for boilers in
cities north of the Huai River but denied heat to the south. Using
a regression discontinuity design based on distance from the Huai
River, we find that ambient concentrations of TSPs are about 184
μg/m3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 61, 307] or 55% higher in the
north. Further, the results indicate that life expectancies are about
5.5 y (95% CI: 0.8, 10.2) lower in the north owing to an increased
incidence of cardiorespiratory mortality. More generally, the analysis
suggests that long-term exposure to an additional 100 μg/m3
of TSPs is associated with a reduction in life expectancy at birth of
about 3.0 y (95% CI: 0.4, 5.6).
一个重度华北雾霾受害者，自从去年12月到现在三个月不到每来一次重污染就呼吸道感染发烧挂针，实际影响怕不止5.5年。。。
快让他来南方